GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Busko-Zdroj · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Korona Kielce II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Busko-Zdroj are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Busko-Zdroj hold a 37.2-point power-rating edge (30.8 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the III Liga - Group 4, while Busko-Zdroj holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Busko-Zdroj

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

10.3%

Busko-Zdroj has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Korona Kielce IILLLDL

GF 9 · GA 17 · avg 1.80/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Busko-ZdrojWDWLL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Korona Kielce IIBusko-Zdroj
83.3Attack66.7
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form66.7
30.8Power68.0
1.57xG1.92
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