Kormákur / Hvötvs
Fjolnir
COMPLETEDIceland · 2. Deild · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kormákur / Hvöt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 2-2 (6%), 3-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kormákur / Hvöt 1-2 Fjolnir
Original prediction
Kormákur / Hvöt
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.1% | 48.2% | 10.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.23 | 21.3% | 17.8% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 40.6% | 34.0% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.2–26%
- 3.3–16%
Predicted outcome
Kormákur / Hvöt
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Kormákur / Hvöt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60