Kormákur / Hvötvs
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
COMPLETEDIceland · 2. Deild · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kormákur / Hvöt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 3-2 (6%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kormákur / Hvöt 2-3 Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
Original prediction
Kormákur / Hvöt
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.7% | 41.3% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.4% | 19.0% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 40.9% | 39.7% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.3–26%
- 3.2–16%
Predicted outcome
Kormákur / Hvöt
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Kormákur / Hvöt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80