2. Deild2. Deild
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 17:31
Kormákur / Hvöt

Kormákur / Hvöt

Home
DD
31
Full time
Dalvík / Reynir

Dalvík / Reynir

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Draw(28%)
Most likely exact score2-2
Win probability
Kormákur / Hvöt
39%
Draw
28%
Dalvík / Reynir
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Kormákur / Hvöt
18
Dalvík / Reynir
34
Defence
Kormákur / Hvöt
82
Dalvík / Reynir
1
Momentum
Kormákur / Hvöt
33
Dalvík / Reynir
0
Danger (xG)
Kormákur / Hvöt
0.45
Dalvík / Reynir
0.90
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 2.60 xG for Kormákur / Hvöt and 1.73 xG for Dalvík / Reynir — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Kormákur / Hvöt holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 4.33 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.

xG for (Kormákur / Hvöt)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Dalvík / Reynir)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Kormákur / Hvöt)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Dalvík / Reynir)
3.60
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Kormákur / HvötKormákur / Hvöt
DDDL
Dalvík / ReynirDalvík / Reynir
LWWL

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Kormákur / Hvöt39%
Draw28%
Dalvík / Reynir33%

Kormákur / Hvöt leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Kormákur / Hvöt Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Kormákur / Hvöt host Dalvík / Reynir in 2. Deild. Kormákur / Hvöt have recorded DWDDWL in recent matches while Dalvík / Reynir arrive with a run of WWDLLL. These sides have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 2.60 expected goals for Kormákur / Hvöt against 1.73 for Dalvík / Reynir — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Kormákur / Hvöt's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 60% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency Kormákur / Hvöt have averaged 2.16 goals per game recently while Dalvík / Reynir have managed 1.56. Kormákur / Hvöt carry the sharper attacking edge — a factor the model weighs in its Kormákur / Hvöt win projection.

Why GoalVio backs this

Kormákur / Hvöt are generating a commanding xG advantage — 2.60 projected against 1.73 for Dalvík / Reynir. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.87 is the clearest signal in the model that Kormákur / Hvöt are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: Kormákur / Hvöt's projection depends on converting chances into goals. If Dalvík / Reynir defend deep, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter, the match could end differently than the model projects — particularly if Kormákur / Hvöt fail to score in the first half.

Risk factors

  • Kormákur / Hvöt have been conceding 1.80 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 3 of the last 5 meetings.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.

Recent form

Kormákur / Hvöt

Kormákur / Hvöt

D
vs Vikingur Olafsiik
12 Jul 2026
00
D
@ Fjolnir
4 Jul 2026
11
D
@ Haukar
10 Jun 2026
22
L
@ Selfoss
16 May 2026
12
Dalvík / Reynir

Dalvík / Reynir

L
vs Fjolnir
12 Jul 2026
14
W
vs Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
27 Jun 2026
10
W
@ Magni
10 Jun 2026
20
L
@ Vikingur Olafsiik
16 May 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Kormákur / Hvöt vs Dalvík / Reynir?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Kormákur / Hvöt vs Dalvík / Reynir?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-2.

Will both teams score in Kormákur / Hvöt vs Dalvík / Reynir?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Kormákur / Hvöt vs Dalvík / Reynir?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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