Korea Republic U23vs
Vietnam U23
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games · 9/25/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Korea Republic U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Korea Republic U23 4-0 Vietnam U23
Original prediction
Korea Republic U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.13 | 80.8% | 45.2% | -35.6 pts |
| Draw | 6.89 | 13.2% | 24.6% | 11.3 pts |
| Away | 15.13 | 6.0% | 30.3% | 24.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-35.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Korea Republic U23
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Korea Republic U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20