Korea Republic U23vs
Japan U23
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games · 10/3/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Korea Republic U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Korea Republic U23 1-0 Japan U23
Original prediction
Korea Republic U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 37.9% | 38.9% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.3% | 27.0% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.78 | 32.8% | 34.1% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Korea Republic U23
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Korea Republic U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 14 · GA 1 · avg 2.80/0.20