Korea DPR Wvs
Japan W
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games Women · 10/2/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Japan W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Korea DPR W 2-2 Japan W
Original prediction
Japan W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.35 | 26.9% | 34.9% | 8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.4% | 27.9% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 44.7% | 37.2% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Japan W
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Japan W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 26 · GA 2 · avg 5.20/0.40
GF 26 · GA 0 · avg 5.20/0.00