Korea DPR Wvs
China W
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games Women · 9/29/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Korea DPR W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Korea DPR W 2-0 China W
Original prediction
Korea DPR W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 65.1% | 45.3% | -19.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.10 | 21.8% | 25.9% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 6.81 | 13.1% | 28.8% | 15.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Korea DPR W
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Korea DPR W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 25 · GA 3 · avg 5.00/0.60
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60