Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Korba · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Korba 3-0 EGS Gafsa
Original prediction
Korba
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.6% | 40.9% | -11.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.6% | 30.1% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.51 | 19.9% | 29.0% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Korba
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Korba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KorbaLDWWL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
EGS GafsaLWDWL
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KorbaEGS Gafsa
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power23.7
1.18xG0.96