Korabi Peshkopivs
Pogradeci
COMPLETEDAlbania · 1st Division · 10/11/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pogradeci · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Korabi Peshkopi 0-2 Pogradeci
Original prediction
Pogradeci
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.99 | 18.0% | 33.2% | 15.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.5% | 28.0% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.59 | 56.4% | 38.9% | -17.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Pogradeci
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Pogradeci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40