Koprivnicavs
Križevci
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 9/12/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Križevci · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Koprivnica 0-3 Križevci
Original prediction
Križevci
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.3% | 33.5% | -13.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.3% | 27.8% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.5% | 38.6% | 12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Križevci
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Križevci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40