Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Koper · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Koper 2-0 Nafta
Original prediction
Koper
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.3% | 55.7% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.7% | 24.2% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.76 | 19.1% | 20.1% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Koper
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Koper has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KoperLWWWD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
NaftaWWLLL
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KoperNafta
33.3Attack30.6
100.0Defence36.1
100.0Form25.9
80.3Power33.5
2.15xG0.66