Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kopčany · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Kopčany are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWLW), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.75 conceded, while Piešťany are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Piešťany hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the Cup, while Kopčany holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kopčany
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
8.6%
Kopčany has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.50/3.75
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40