Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MyPa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
KoPa are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 3.67 conceded, while MyPa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and MyPa hold a 39.3-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.5% in the Suomen Cup, while MyPa holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MyPa
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
6.5%
MyPa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.33/3.67
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20