GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkösliiga · 10/19/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kooteepee · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kooteepee are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Turku PS are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kooteepee hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (67.1 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while Kooteepee holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kooteepee

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Kooteepee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KooteepeeWWWLL

GF 20 · GA 9 · avg 4.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Turku PSWLDLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KooteepeeTurku PS
57.9Attack49.4
64.9Defence64.2
73.7Form53.1
67.1Power56.3
1.39xG0.92
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