Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kooteepee · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kooteepee are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Turku PS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kooteepee hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (67.1 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while Kooteepee holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kooteepee
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Kooteepee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20