Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kooteepee are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while PK-35 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 67.1 against 65.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80