Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kooteepee · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kooteepee 2-0 MP, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kooteepee 1-1 MP
Original prediction
Kooteepee
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 15:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.7% | 63.4% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.92 | 18.4% | 21.3% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 6.52 | 13.9% | 15.3% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Projected Score
Kooteepee 2–0 MP
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Kooteepee
Probability
63.4%
Model confidence
63.4%
Kooteepee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KooteepeeWWWWW
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
MPWDWLL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KooteepeeMP
61.1Attack36.1
70.8Defence52.8
79.2Form38.9
71.6Power45.1
2.03xG0.54