Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kooteepee · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Kooteepee are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while MP are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kooteepee hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (67.1 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while Kooteepee holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kooteepee
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
61.3%
Kooteepee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00