Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kooteepee · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Kooteepee are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while MP are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kooteepee hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (67.1 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while Kooteepee holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kooteepee
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
61.3%
Kooteepee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60