Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lahti · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Kooteepee are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lahti are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lahti hold a 54.5-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 69.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Suomen Cup, while Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lahti
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
6.8%
Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20