Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kooteepee · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Kooteepee are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while KäPa are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kooteepee hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (66.3 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while Kooteepee holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kooteepee
Probability
72.9%
Model confidence
14.7%
Kooteepee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00