Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kooteepee · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Kooteepee are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while KäPa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kooteepee hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (66.3 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while Kooteepee holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kooteepee
Probability
72.9%
Model confidence
14.7%
Kooteepee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40