Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kooteepee · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Kooteepee are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while KäPa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Kooteepee hold a 28.7-point power-rating edge (67.1 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.0% in the Ykkösliiga, while Kooteepee holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kooteepee
Probability
72.0%
Model confidence
72.0%
Kooteepee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40