Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kooteepee · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Kooteepee are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while JäPS are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kooteepee hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (67.1 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while Kooteepee holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kooteepee
Probability
63.6%
Model confidence
63.6%
Kooteepee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80