Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kooteepee · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kooteepee are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Haka are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 66.3 against 64.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while Kooteepee holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kooteepee
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
13.9%
Kooteepee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00