Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kooteepee · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kooteepee 2-1 Haka
Original prediction
Kooteepee
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.7% | 38.8% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.8% | 25.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.89 | 31.5% | 35.5% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Kooteepee
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Kooteepee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KooteepeeWWWWD
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HakaWWWWW
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KooteepeeHaka
56.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
75.0Form66.7
67.9Power66.7
1.23xG1.22