Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gnistan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Kooteepee are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gnistan are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Gnistan hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gnistan holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gnistan
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
7.4%
Gnistan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80