Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kooteepee · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kooteepee are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while FF Jaro are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kooteepee hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (67.1 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Ykkösliiga, while Kooteepee holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kooteepee
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Kooteepee has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80