Konyasporvs
Kocaelispor
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 8/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kocaelispor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Konyaspor 1-2 Kocaelispor
Original prediction
Kocaelispor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 46.9% | 35.7% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.7% | 28.0% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.83 | 24.4% | 36.3% | 11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Kocaelispor
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Kocaelispor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00