Koninklijke HFCvs
Sparta Rotterdam II
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Rotterdam II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Koninklijke HFC 2-2 Sparta Rotterdam II
Original prediction
Sparta Rotterdam II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 37.0% | 35.0% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.5% | 24.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.5% | 40.5% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.67 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Rotterdam II
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Sparta Rotterdam II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 17 · GA 14 · avg 3.40/2.80