Koninklijke HFCvs
AFC Amsterdam
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 9/19/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Koninklijke HFC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Koninklijke HFC 1-3 AFC Amsterdam
Original prediction
Koninklijke HFC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.4% | 40.1% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.8% | 24.3% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 37.9% | 35.6% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Koninklijke HFC
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Koninklijke HFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40