1. Division1. Division
Friday, 3 July 2026Last updated 15:02
Kongsvinger

Kongsvinger

Home
W
51
Full time
Sogndal

Sogndal

Away
L
Gjemselund Stadion
GoalVio prediction
50% confidence
Kongsvinger(50%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Kongsvinger
Win probability
Kongsvinger
50%
Draw
21%
Sogndal
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Kongsvinger
100
Sogndal
34
Defence
Kongsvinger
66
Sogndal
0
Momentum
Kongsvinger
100
Sogndal
0
Danger (xG)
Kongsvinger
4.50
Sogndal
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Kongsvinger)
4.50
avg per match
xG for (Sogndal)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Kongsvinger)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Sogndal)
4.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
KongsvingerKongsvinger
WLDW
SogndalSogndal
LWLD

Probability breakdown

50% confidence
Kongsvinger50%
Draw21%
Sogndal30%

Kongsvinger leads with 50% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Kongsvinger head into this in 1. Division fixture at Gjemselund Stadion in mixed form (W), while Sogndal arrive in mixed form (L). Kongsvinger have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Sogndal over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Kongsvinger's elite attack (100/100) faces a vulnerable Sogndal defence (0/100), while Sogndal's attack is up against a solid Kongsvinger backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Kongsvinger's favour.

Kongsvinger have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 4.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game at home. Sogndal have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 1.3 goals scored and 3.3 conceded per away game.

Kongsvinger have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 6.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Kongsvinger to win with 50% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Kongsvinger 4960%, Draw 2050%, Sogndal 2990%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Kongsvinger 1Draws 00 Sogndal
Avg goals: 6.0BTTS in 1/1
3 Jul 2026
Kongsvinger
W51
Sogndal

Recent form

Kongsvinger

Kongsvinger

W
vs Sogndal
3 Jul 2026
51
L
@ Haugesund
27 Jun 2026
24
D
vs Stromsgodset
21 Jun 2026
44
W
@ Lyn
16 May 2026
30
Sogndal

Sogndal

L
@ Kongsvinger
3 Jul 2026
15
W
vs Egersund
27 Jun 2026
42
L
@ Raufoss
21 Jun 2026
13
D
@ hodd
16 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Kongsvinger vs Sogndal?

GoalVio's model predicts Kongsvinger to win with 50% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Kongsvinger vs Sogndal?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Kongsvinger vs Sogndal?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Kongsvinger vs Sogndal?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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