Kongsvingervs
Sandnes ULF
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division · 10/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kongsvinger · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (9%), 3-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kongsvinger 4-0 Sandnes ULF
Original prediction
Kongsvinger
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 70.7% | 77.7% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.56 | 16.4% | 12.2% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 7.11 | 12.9% | 10.2% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–19%
- 3.3–07%
Predicted outcome
Kongsvinger
Probability
77.7%
Model confidence
77.7%
Kongsvinger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 10 · avg 3.40/2.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20