Kongsvingervs
Raufoss
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kongsvinger · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (10%), 4-0 (10%), 5-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kongsvinger 9-1 Raufoss
Original prediction
Kongsvinger
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 75.2% | 72.4% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 6.26 | 14.7% | 15.1% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 9.09 | 10.1% | 12.4% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–110%
- 2.4–010%
- 3.5–19%
Predicted outcome
Kongsvinger
Probability
72.4%
Model confidence
72.4%
Kongsvinger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40