Kongsvingervs
Ranheim
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division · 10/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kongsvinger · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-2 (7%), 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kongsvinger 6-2 Ranheim
Original prediction
Kongsvinger
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 60.7% | 59.6% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.88 | 18.8% | 19.1% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 4.48 | 20.5% | 21.2% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–27%
- 2.4–17%
- 3.5–27%
Predicted outcome
Kongsvinger
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Kongsvinger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 5 · avg 4.00/1.00
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80