GGOALVIO

Norway · 1. Division · 4/16/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kongsvinger · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Kongsvinger are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Mjondalen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kongsvinger hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (68.6 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.0% in the 1. Division, while Kongsvinger holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kongsvinger

Probability

67.0%

Model confidence

67.0%

Kongsvinger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KongsvingerLLDLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MjondalenDLWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KongsvingerMjondalen
88.2Attack43.3
49.0Defence53.3
70.6Form41.1
68.6Power47.5
2.78xG1.15
View match centre →