Kongsvingervs
Lyn
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division · 8/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kongsvinger · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 5-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kongsvinger 4-4 Lyn
Original prediction
Kongsvinger
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 61.4% | 75.7% | 14.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.83 | 19.1% | 12.6% | -6.5 pts |
| Away | 4.70 | 19.6% | 11.8% | -7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.5–17%
Predicted outcome
Kongsvinger
Probability
75.7%
Model confidence
75.7%
Kongsvinger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80