Kongsvingervs
hodd
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kongsvinger · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kongsvinger 5-1 hodd
Original prediction
Kongsvinger
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 73.3% | 73.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.74 | 16.0% | 13.8% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 8.57 | 10.7% | 13.1% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.4–17%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Kongsvinger
Probability
73.1%
Model confidence
73.1%
Kongsvinger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 8 · avg 3.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60