GGOALVIO

Norway · 1. Division · 5/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kongsvinger · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Kongsvinger are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Egersund are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kongsvinger hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (68.6 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.0% in the 1. Division, while Kongsvinger holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kongsvinger

Probability

64.7%

Model confidence

8.0%

Kongsvinger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KongsvingerDWWWD

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
EgersundWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
KongsvingerEgersund
88.2Attack60.8
49.0Defence45.1
70.6Form51.0
68.6Power52.3
3.22xG1.65
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