Kongsvinger IIvs
Fauske Sprint
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 5 · 10/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kongsvinger II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-4 (7%), 3-4 (7%), 4-5 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kongsvinger II 6-2 Fauske Sprint
Original prediction
Kongsvinger II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.3% | 43.4% | -12.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.35 | 20.6% | 19.0% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.89 | 23.1% | 37.6% | 14.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–47%
- 2.3–47%
- 3.4–56%
Predicted outcome
Kongsvinger II
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Kongsvinger II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 17 · avg 2.20/3.40
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00