GGOALVIO

Sweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · 10/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Qviding FIF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Kongahälla 1-2 Qviding FIF

Original prediction

Qviding FIF

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0544.0%37.5%-6.5 pts
Draw3.9522.9%20.2%-2.7 pts
Away2.7333.1%42.4%9.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–18%
  2. 2.1–28%
  3. 3.2–28%

Predicted outcome

Qviding FIF

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Qviding FIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KongahällaLWWWW

GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Qviding FIFLWLWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KongahällaQviding FIF
48.6Attack61.1
37.5Defence38.9
37.5Form47.2
42.5Power49.4
1.92xG2.19
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