Kongahällavs
Lindome
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · 9/24/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lindome · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kongahälla 3-2 Lindome
Original prediction
Lindome
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 37.9% | 31.0% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.6% | 20.7% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 37.5% | 48.3% | 10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Lindome
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Lindome has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80