Kongahällavs
Galtabacks
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · 8/28/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Galtabacks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kongahälla 1-3 Galtabacks
Original prediction
Galtabacks
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.1% | 37.4% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.4% | 23.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.78 | 32.5% | 38.9% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Galtabacks
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Galtabacks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20