Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Komárno · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Komárno 0-0 Skalica
Original prediction
Komárno
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 51.7% | 43.4% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.5% | 24.3% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.06 | 22.8% | 32.4% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Komárno
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Komárno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KomárnoDLWLD
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SkalicaWLLWL
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KomárnoSkalica
33.3Attack50.0
38.9Defence16.7
16.7Form38.9
32.6Power37.6
1.75xG1.60