Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Komárno · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Komárno are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pohronie are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Komárno hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 27.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Komárno holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Komárno
Probability
59.5%
Model confidence
59.5%
Komárno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80