Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Kom are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Igalo are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Igalo hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the Second League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 3.50/1.00
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50