GGOALVIO

Kolubara logoKolubaravsMacva logoMacva

COMPLETED

Serbia · Prva Liga · 8/13/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Kolubara are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Macva are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Macva hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Prva Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KolubaraLDLWL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MacvaD

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
KolubaraMacva
38.9Attack32.4
59.3Defence73.9
39.8Form45.9
47.1Power52.5
0.65xG0.74
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