Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nardo · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4
Kolstad are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 5.00 conceded, while Nardo are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWWL), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 5 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nardo hold a 62.5-point power-rating edge (16.0 v 78.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.9% in the 3. Division - Girone 5, while Nardo holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nardo
Probability
90.9%
Model confidence
90.9%
Nardo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/5.00
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.50/2.00