GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Cup · 8/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kolos Kovalivka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kolos Kovalivka are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while UCSA are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and kolos Kovalivka hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 29.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Cup, favouring Kolos Kovalivka with 12.4% confidence, a 55% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kolos Kovalivka

Probability

52.2%

Model confidence

12.4%

Kolos Kovalivka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kolos KovalivkaWLLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
UCSAWWLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Kolos KovalivkaUCSA
66.7Attack22.2
33.3Defence33.3
33.3Form22.2
45.3Power29.0
1.76xG1.06
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