Kolos Kovalivkavs
Karpaty
COMPLETEDUkraine · Cup · 9/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kolos Kovalivka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kolos Kovalivka 2-3 Karpaty
Original prediction
Kolos Kovalivka
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.88 | 32.6% | 38.4% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 29.3% | 28.0% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 38.1% | 33.6% | -4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Kolos Kovalivka
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Kolos Kovalivka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60