GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Premier League · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kolos Kovalivka · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Kolos Kovalivka 0-0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, with an exact score probability of 17%.

Prediction record

Final result

Kolos Kovalivka 3-1 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Original prediction

Kolos Kovalivka

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9447.6%36.5%-11.1 pts
Draw3.2128.6%30.2%1.6 pts
Away3.8723.8%33.3%9.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-11.1 pts

Projected Score

Kolos Kovalivka 0–0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Exact score probability: 17%

Predicted outcome

Kolos Kovalivka

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Kolos Kovalivka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kolos KovalivkaLWLLD

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Epitsentr DunayivtsiDLLWD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Kolos KovalivkaEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
33.3Attack28.6
44.4Defence66.7
27.8Form38.1
38.3Power44.6
0.88xG0.96
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